The Lagos Gubernatorial primaries for APC will be very interesting, judging by the way events keeps shape shifting into strange and amorphous forms.in the early part of the race to secure the ticket APC chieftain Jagaban Tinubu's implied candidate Akinwunmi Ambode appeared set to enjoy a fairly easy path to victory,however with the uncharacteristic boldness to protest amongst most of the other frontline aspirants who have firmly rejected any form of consensus or imposition of candidate, it appears Ambode's strongest point now seems to be his albatross as he is seen as Tinubu's puppet hence not enjoying as much support.
Even though Olasupo Sasore enjoys unprecedented support in large part due to his professional and moral antecedents and also because of Fashola's perceived goodwill amongst Lagos residents and his power of incumbency deployed in support of his candidate,he is still unable to match a man of Tinubu's Political stature in Lagos toe to toe,he does not possess Tinubu's grassroots appeal,he is largely seen by many as elitist and he has largely neglected large swathes of the mainland especially Alimosho Local Government where the most votes comes from and a key decider in any election Tinubu an ace Political strategist will definitely take full advantage of this.For what a Professional Politician is willing to spend on elections, i guess both sides are broadly evenly matched financially so this will not be an issue,it is good news for the delegates who can be rest assured of pay day from now till the D day.
However an aspirant who seem to have emerged from nowhere comfortably riding upon the waves of popular opinion presently is Olasupo Sasore SAN, the former Attorney General and widely regarded as Fashola's candidate.It will be recalled that Fashola supporters were actively pushing the candidature of Femi Hamzat, with latest developement it appears everyone was being sold a dummy.while focused on Hamzat expending energy and crucial goodwill in opposing him, Sasore was being prepared and perfected as the Dark horse.
The conundrum Ambode and Tinubu his backer face now is the new found voice amongst formerly pliant Party members which seems to be playing nicely into Sasore and Fashola's bid.In addittion it will be foolhardy to oppose Sasore now after throwing up a lot of issues with Hamzat, my guess is Tinubu will continue with what he knows how to do best,campaigns, utilising his grassroots appeal,network of Political affiliates and like a cobra carefully watch Fashola closely any mistake and he will pounce in for the kill.
This leaves the other candidates in the running.While one can dismiss a number of the other 14 aspirants offhand as Political lightweighs, especially in this present dispensation,the likes of Adeyemi Ikuforiji The Speaker of Lagos State House of Assembly,Senator Ganiyu Solomon posses sizeable Political network and the financial war chest to match any candidate hence they cannot be summarily disregarded.The APC in Lagos have a massive fight on their hands with the impending behemoth of an Obanikoro PDP challenger in forthcoming Guber elections the Party chieftains realise this hence it will be interesting to see how member will be adequately appeased while proferring a strong and united front.